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To better understand what it’s really like to try and win an election as a woman, we spoke to women from every state who have done it — 97 women in all.
The second Republican presidential primary debate is less than two weeks away, so time is running out for GOP contenders to meet the Republican National Committee’s qualification criteria.To ...
The vanguard of American conservatism is Florida — at least, according to its governor. The state is on “the front lines in the battle for freedom,” Gov. Ron De… ...
amelia.td (Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, senior reporter): On Friday, financial regulators announced that they were taking control of Silicon Valley Bank, signaling the largest bank collapse since the ...
Includes polls of special elections and runoffs. Excludes polls from pollsters that are banned by FiveThirtyEight. Bias is calculated only for elections in which the top two finishers were a ...
The Details Longtime readers of FiveThirtyEight are probably familiar with our pollster ratings: letter grades that we assign to pollsters based on their histor… ...
Inflation isn’t under control, and we’re heading for a recession. Except, wait: The latest jobs report indicates that the labor market is healthier than it’s be… ...
Even with an additional senator going into 2023, the 2024 map is still so bad for Democrats that keeping the Senate for years to come will be a fairly tough order.
That Democrats have so many seats to defend in 2024 is a byproduct of past electoral success. Each class of Senate seats is up every six years, 2 so the group of seats up in 2024 was previously up ...
How this works: Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings are a combination of each team's recent match results and the overall quality of its World Cup roster. This forecast is based on 20,000 simulations of ...
It’s notable, too, that a handful of Black Republicans were in tough races that took multiple days to call. Tamika Hamilton, who ran against Democrat Rep. Ami Bera in California’s 6th District ...
And even in states where there weren’t split-ticket winners, there were still big gaps in candidate performance. Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine, a Republican, won reelection by nearly 26 percentage ...